Fabrizio Romano's "Here we go" is accurate 98.1% of the time

How to read this number

What is counted?

2,401 announcements. Every post containing "Here we go" since January 2019; repeated posts about the same move count once.

How is a completed move verified?

Against the career history on Wikidata and the career table on the player's English Wikipedia page. A move counts as completed when the player joined the announced club in the year of the post. Each judgement links to the page used.

How is a collapsed deal decided?

Only on Romano's own words — a post saying the deal is off, has collapsed, or is not happening. A gap in a third-party database is not treated as evidence. 39 so far.

What about the other 328?

Neither outcome is confirmed yet, so they are excluded from the calculation. Loans and very recent moves can take weeks to appear on Wikidata or Wikipedia. The number judged is always shown alongside, so the denominator is never inflated.

The formula

2,034 completed ÷ (2,034 completed + 39 collapsed) = 98.1%. Pending cases are not in the denominator.

How often is this updated?

New posts are collected every hour and the judgements are recomputed automatically (every 30 minutes during transfer windows).

How we judge →

Method

Accuracy is counted as follows. Every judgement is based on public data and links to its evidence. The number of moves not yet judged is always shown alongside.